Icarus, moving forward

This newsletter marks half the lifetime of the ICARUS Project. This newsletter marks half the lifetime of the ICARUS Project. In the past months we reached some important milestones with respect to data collection and analysis, expert elicitation, and modelling innovation and technology transfer.

With respect to data collection and analysis, we made a significant improvement towards building a database of indicators in innovation and technology transfer. The main focus has been on patent data. As the community working on patent data and environmental policy is growing we organized, together with the International Center for Climate Governance, an International Workshop gathering together major experts currently working in this field and took stock of the past research.

With respect to expert elicitation, we recently published two sets of results. First, the report on Nuclear Energy presenting the implications that emerged from the web survey of experts and the subsequent workshop, both carried out jointly with the Science Technology and Public Policy Program at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (Harvard University Kennedy School). Second, a policy brief summarizing the main conclusions from the interviews of experts in solar PV and CSP technologies.

The importance of fully understanding the dynamics of technology transfer and adoption in order to draft sound climate and technology policies is one of the major aspects that emerged from this past year of research. Technology transfer is key to support sustainable development and has important implications for climate change policy.

We are continuing with our effort to study and model technological change, uncertainty and transfer dynamics at full speed. We are currently processing the data related to the Biofuel and Storage Technologies expert elicitations, which will each result in a policy brief. We are interviewing the first experts on bioenergy technologies and gathering important data on the future developments and costs of this technological option. In cooperation with the University of Massachusetts, we are carrying out an expert elicitation process that will include both experts from the USA and the EU on Carbon Capture and Storage Technologies.

Shortly we will kick off the Technology Elicitations and Modeling (TEaM) Project, supported by FEEM and EMF, and organized by Valentina Bosetti and Erin Baker. The purpose of the TEAM project is to develop a framework for (1) integrating the large and growing data sources on technology supply, derived from expert elicitations, with other relevant data on technology supply; and (2) communicating the integrated data in a way that is useful to IAM modelers.

Stay tuned!